House Speaker Paul Ryan and other House Republican leaders are expected to unveil a health plan this week that would repeal some or all of health reform and put a different plan in its place. Our recent blog series analyzed some of its possible elements. The plan as a whole would likely:
Increase the number of uninsured. The plan is expected to eliminate health reform’s Medicaid expansion and insurance marketplaces, so most of the 20 million adults who’ve gained coverage under health reform would lose it. Millions more who would have later gained coverage would stay uninsured. The GOP plan’s likely centerpiece would be subsidies, through a new refundable tax credit, that likely would be much smaller than health reform’s subsidies. As a result, they likely would provide only modest help in buying coverage for people who would otherwise be uninsured due to health reform’s repeal.
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