According the National Bureau of Economic Research, the US economy recovered from the recession at the beginning of the summer of 2009. Yet the recovery has been disappointing when compared to other recoveries. In this episode of the Numbers Game, John Taylor of Stanford University talks with host Russ Roberts about the nature of the recovery. How does it compare historically to other recoveries? How can we measure the pace of the recovery? The conversation ends with a discussion of possible explanations for why the recovery has been disappointing.
1) What is potential GDP? (0:52)
2) The economy never catches back up to trend (2:38)
3) The 1981 recession (3:16)
4) Is there a correct or potential level of GDP? (4:45)
5) A look at past recoveries (6:13)
6) Friedman and the Plucking Model (8:10)
7) A look at real growth rates in recoveries (8:59)
8) Employment and the recovery (10:20)