Can the Fed Get Back to Normal?

Can the Fed Get Back to Normal?
AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File

The balance sheet of today's Federal Reserve makes it the largest 1980s-model savings and loan in the world, with a giant portfolio of long-term, fixed rate mortgage securities combined with floating rate deposits. This would certainly have astonished the legislative fathers of the Federal Reserve Act like Congressman and then Senator Carter Glass, who strongly held that the Fed should primarily be about discounting short-term commercial notes.

It would equally have amazed the Fed's past leaders, like its longest-serving chairman, William McChesney Martin, who presided over the Fed under five U.S. Presidents, from 1951 to 1969. Martin thought the Fed should confine its open-market activities to short-term Treasury bills and instituted the “bills only doctrine” in 1953. He would have been most surprised and we can imagine displeased at the amount of Treasury bills now included in the Fed's bloated $4.5 trillion of assets. As of June 7, 2017, the Treasury bills held by the Fed are exactly zero. This is as radical on one end of the maturity spectrum as the long-term mortgages are on the other.

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