The Trade War Inside the Democratic Party

The Trade War Inside the Democratic Party

If Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in Tuesday's midterm elections, as polls suggest, they would likely use their position to stymie new administration initiatives on health care, taxes, immigration, and more.

But in the topsy-turvy world of trade, it's a lot harder to gauge where the next Congress will come down on issues such as approving the new trade deal with Mexico and Canada and pushing back on President Donald Trump's trade wars. While party affiliation used to be a predictor for trade policy, many Republican voters have turned their backs on free trade, whereas many Democratic voters now seem to favor it.

With control of the House but not the Senate (which polls predict will remain in Republican hands), Democrats would be in a position to play a blocking role but not to advance their own agenda.

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