A spate of 2022 Supreme Court rulings at odds with national sentiment has created an opportunity for the Democratic Party to avoid the typical midterm election drubbing.
Incumbent administrations rarely avoid midterm Congressional losses. The only exceptions since 1978 were George W. Bush in 2002 and Clinton in 1998. Both featured a president with some bipartisan success and a midterm campaign focused on grievance – anger following 9-11 or the perceived Congressional Republican overreach with the Clinton impeachment.
President Biden does have notable bipartisan legislative successes including the chips, Covid relief, gun control and infrastructure legislation. The Democrats should combine that characteristic with a grievance informed by the Kansas abortion vote and the recent bounce in Party prospects from the Supreme Court’s Dobbs abortion ruling frightening women and angering a majority of women and independents.
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