A Biden Bump after Trump's Conviction?

A remarkable stability has defined the 2024 election. On Super Tuesday, Donald Trump led Joe Biden by 2.2 points in the 538/ABC News national polling average. On April 1, by 2.1 points. On May 30, the day of his felony conviction, he led by 1.7 points. During those nearly three months, Nikki Haley dropped out, multi-million dollar ad buys went live, and both candidates held dozens of campaign events. The polls hardly budged. Trump’s narrow lead appeared incredibly resilient. Read Full Article »