The Downward Trajectory of RFK, Jr.

As recently as this spring, Democrats were extremely worried that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. could spoil Biden’s reelection. Polls showed Kennedy hovering between 10 and 15 percent—with more of his support coming from Biden supporters and Democratic-leaning independents than from Republicans. Young voters, long a weakness of the Biden campaign, seemed particularly open to his third-party candidacy. Fast forward a few months and Kennedy’s vote share has plummeted to roughly 5 percent—a sudden, though not entirely unexpected, collapse.