If Election Were Held Today, Trump Would Likely Win
Staff
The Napolitan Institute
October 30, 2024
On a private briefing for Napolitan Institute Gold Circle Members, Scott Rasmussen said, “If the election were held today, Donald Trump would likely win.”Rasmussen noted that he reviews the polling averages daily and considers what they might look like if they shifted in either direction.At the moment, the Real Clear Politics (RCP) average shows the national popular vote tied (as does the New York Times latest poll). A tie in the national popular vote would likely result in an Electoral College victory for Trump.
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